Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.061431 0.069553 0.077869 0.086989 0.096680 0.106641 0.117626
2025-08-10 0.048369 0.060308 0.073148 0.087843 0.104063 0.121300 0.140887
2025-08-17 0.039635 0.053741 0.069551 0.088260 0.109504 0.132617 0.159421
2025-08-24 0.031508 0.046564 0.064143 0.085609 0.110605 0.138358 0.171092
2025-08-31 0.025338 0.040856 0.059713 0.083414 0.111639 0.143525 0.181669
2025-09-07 0.021794 0.037943 0.058244 0.084368 0.116026 0.152267 0.196078
2025-09-14 0.019176 0.035898 0.057585 0.086075 0.121121 0.161683 0.211145
2025-09-21 0.017680 0.035185 0.058477 0.089577 0.128278 0.173447 0.228884
2025-09-28 0.015503 0.033245 0.057577 0.090683 0.132413 0.181568 0.242323
2025-10-05 0.015742 0.034863 0.061426 0.097846 0.143994 0.198554 0.266177
2025-10-12 0.013303 0.032134 0.059194 0.097032 0.145611 0.203572 0.275903
2025-10-19 0.011980 0.031005 0.059062 0.098873 0.150474 0.212443 0.290152
2025-10-26 0.010083 0.028807 0.057433 0.098853 0.153211 0.219044 0.302109
2025-11-02 0.008780 0.027474 0.056980 0.100387 0.157946 0.228137 0.317146
2025-11-09 0.007401 0.025779 0.055857 0.100913 0.161322 0.235524 0.330114
2025-11-16 0.005524 0.022731 0.052430 0.098062 0.160169 0.237202 0.336080
2025-11-23 0.004057 0.020133 0.049473 0.095694 0.159513 0.239393 0.342588
2025-11-30 0.003357 0.019098 0.048942 0.096724 0.163302 0.247111 0.355810
2025-12-07 0.002863 0.018451 0.048996 0.098567 0.168154 0.256156 0.370658
2025-12-14 0.002674 0.018586 0.050368 0.102343 0.175610 0.268502 0.389580
2025-12-21 0.002195 0.017758 0.050017 0.103534 0.179556 0.276395 0.403022
2025-12-28 0.002499 0.019378 0.054009 0.111241 0.192372 0.295588 0.430440
2026-01-04 0.001847 0.017827 0.052306 0.110366 0.193496 0.299893 0.439472